Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2018-82
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2018-82
02 May 2018
 | 02 May 2018
Status: this preprint was under review for the journal ACP but the revision was not accepted.

On the role of the south Pacific subtropical high at the onset of El Niño events

Youjia Zou and Xiangying Xi

Abstract. Previous studies have suggested that an eastward propagation of the warm pool in the western Pacific during El Niño events may be induced by a weakening of the easterly Trade Winds (Alexander et al., 2002; Bjerknes, 1969). However, the dynamic mechanism of the Trade Winds weakening is not well understood. Here we use a model and other published proxy records to demonstrate that the anomalous southward shift of the south Pacific subtropical high (SPSH) may play a crucial role at the onset of El Niño events. By analyzing the relationship between the Trade Winds, the Equatorial Currents, the Eastern Boundary Currents and the SPSH, we find that an anomalous southward shift of the SPSH can result in a weakening of the SE Trade Winds and a southward intrusion of the NE Trade Winds, leading to a southward migration of the Trade Wind-induced Equatorial Currents, including the Equatorial Countercurrent (from ~5°–8° N to ~0°). The warm pool in the western equatorial Pacific is therefore forced to propagate eastward by the enhanced Equatorial Countercurrent and, thus, a warm phase in the central or the eastern equatorial Pacific. Moreover, the equatorward upwelling in the eastern South Pacific, usually recurving along the equator, shifts southward along with the SPSH, in turn diverts towards the west at ~15° S to feed the westward South Equatorial Currents, resulting in a failure of cooling sea surface in the eastern tropical Pacific, thus a flattening of the thermocline. The model experiments indicate that the meridional position and intensity of the Equatorial Countercurrent in the Pacific are some of the determining factors in giving rise to El Niño diversity, suggesting that there should be more frequent warm events due to a meridional expansion of the warm pool under global warming.

Youjia Zou and Xiangying Xi
 
Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
Printer-friendly Version - Printer-friendly version Supplement - Supplement
 
Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
Printer-friendly Version - Printer-friendly version Supplement - Supplement
Youjia Zou and Xiangying Xi
Youjia Zou and Xiangying Xi

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Latest update: 22 Apr 2024
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Short summary
The cause of El Niño is under debate with no scientific consensus. By providing observational data and modelling experiments, we reveal that the southward shift of the south Pacific subtropical high is not a passive result of El Niño, but is driving El Niño. The "westerly wind burst" is actually a result of the weakening of the easterly winds. However, it is found by other authors that the southward movements of the south Pacific subtropical high are closely associated with the solar activities.
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