Journal cover Journal topic
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
doi:10.5194/acp-2016-811
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed
under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
17 Oct 2016
Review status
A revision of this discussion paper was accepted for the journal Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP) and is expected to appear here in due course.
A fifteen year record of CO emissions constrained by MOPITT CO observations
Zhe Jiang1,2, John R. Worden1, Helen Worden2, Merritt Deeter2, Dylan B. A. Jones3, Avelino F. Arellano4, and Daven K. Henze5 1Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA
2National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
3Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
4Department of Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA
5Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA
Abstract. Long-term measurements from satellites and surface stations have demonstrated a decreasing trend of tropospheric carbon monoxide (CO) in the Northern Hemisphere over the past decade. Likely explanations for this decrease include changes in anthropogenic, fires, and/or biogenic emissions or changes in the primary chemical sink hydroxyl radical (OH). Using remotely sensed CO measurements from the Measurement of Pollution in the Troposphere (MOPITT) satellite instrument, in-situ methyl chloroform (MCF) measurements from World Data Centre for Greenhouse Gases (WDCGG), and the adjoint of the GEOS-Chem model, we estimate the change in global CO emissions from 2001–2015. We show that the loss rate of MCF varies by 0.2 % in the past 15 years, indicating that changes in global OH distributions do not explain the recent decrease in CO. Our two-step inversion approach for estimating CO emissions is intended to mitigate the effect of bias errors in the MOPITT data as well as model errors in transport and chemistry, which are the primary uncertainties when quantifying CO emissions using these remotely sensed data. Our results confirm that the decreasing trend of tropospheric CO in the Northern Hemisphere is due to decreasing CO emissions from anthropogenic and biomass burning sources. In particular, we find decreasing CO emissions from the United States and China in the past 15 years, unchanged anthropogenic CO emissions from Europe since 2008, and likely a positive trend from India and southeast Asia, in contrast to recently reported results. We find decreasing trends of biomass burning CO emissions from boreal North America, boreal Asia and South America, but little change over Africa. The inconsistency between our analysis with recent study suggests more efforts are needed for robust conclusion about the variation of anthropogenic CO emissions for India and Southeast Asia.

Citation: Jiang, Z., Worden, J. R., Worden, H., Deeter, M., Jones, D. B. A., Arellano, A. F., and Henze, D. K.: A fifteen year record of CO emissions constrained by MOPITT CO observations, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., doi:10.5194/acp-2016-811, in review, 2016.
Zhe Jiang et al.
Interactive discussionStatus: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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RC1: 'Review', Anonymous Referee #1, 14 Dec 2016 Printer-friendly Version 
AC1: 'reply to comments', Zhe Jiang, 17 Jan 2017 Printer-friendly Version 
 
RC2: 'RC2: 'Review', Anonymous Referee #2', Anonymous Referee #2, 06 Jan 2017 Printer-friendly Version Supplement 
AC2: 'reply to comments', Zhe Jiang, 17 Jan 2017 Printer-friendly Version 
Zhe Jiang et al.
Zhe Jiang et al.

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Short summary
We constrain the long-term variation in global CO emissions for 2001–2015. Our results confirm that the decreasing trend of tropospheric CO in the Northern Hemisphere is due to decreasing CO emissions from anthropogenic and biomass burning sources. In particular, we find decreasing CO emissions from the United States and China in the past 15 years, unchanged anthropogenic CO emissions from Europe since 2008, and likely a positive trend from India and southeast Asia.
We constrain the long-term variation in global CO emissions for 2001–2015. Our results confirm...
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