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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ACPD</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ACPD</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1680-7375</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus GmbH</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/acpd-9-21257-2009</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>The net climate impact of coal-fired power plant emissions</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Shindell</surname>
<given-names>D. T.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Faluvegi</surname>
<given-names>G.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies and Columbia University, 2880  Broadway, New York, NY 10025, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>09</day>
<month>10</month>
<year>2009</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>9</volume>
<issue>5</issue>
<fpage>21257</fpage>
<lpage>21284</lpage>
<permissions>
<license xlink:type="simple">
<license-p>This is an open-access article ditributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
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<abstract>
<p>Coal-fired power plants influence climate via both the emissions of
long-lived carbon dioxide (CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;) and short-lived ozone and
aerosol precursors. For steadily increasing emissions without
substantial pollution controls, we find that the net global mean
climate forcing ranges from near zero to a substantial negative value,
depending on the magnitude of aerosol indirect effects, due to aerosol
masking of the effects of CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;. Imposition of pollution
controls on sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxides leads to a rapid
realization of the full positive forcing from CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;,
however. The long-term forcing from stable (constant) emissions is
positive regardless of pollution controls, with larger values in the
case of pollutant controls. The results imply that historical
emissions from coal-fired power plants until ~1970, including
roughly 1/3 of total anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions, likely
contributed little net global mean climate forcing during that
period. Those emissions likely led to weak cooling at Northern
Hemisphere mid-latitudes and warming in the Southern Hemisphere,
however. Subsequent imposition of pollution controls and the switch to
low-sulfur coal in some areas kept global SO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; emissions
roughly level from 1970 to 2000. Hence during that period, RF due to
emissions during those decades and CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; emitted previously
was strongly positive and likely contributed to rapid global and
regional warming. Most recently, construction of coal-fired power
plants in China and India has been increasing rapidly with minimal
application of pollution controls. Continuation of high-growth rates
for another 30 years would lead to near zero to negative global mean
climate forcing in the absence of expanded pollution controls, but
severely degraded air quality. However, following the Western pattern
of high coal usage followed by imposition of pollution controls could
lead to accelerated global warming in the future.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="28"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
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