ACPD Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions ACPD 1680-7375 Copernicus GmbH Göttingen, Germany 10.5194/acpd-8-8773-2008 Effect of explicit urban land surface representation on the simulation of the 26 July 2005 heavy rain event over Mumbai, India Lei M. 1 Niyogi D. 1 Kishtawal C. 2 Pielke R. A. 3 Beltrán-Przekurat A. 3 Nobis T. E. 3 Vaidya S. S. 4 Purdue University, Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences and Department of Agronomy, West Lafayette, IN 47906, USA SAC/ISRO, Ahmedabad 380015, India University of Colorado at Boulder, CIRES, Boulder, CO 80309, USA Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Homi Bhabha Road, Pune 411008, India 16 05 2008 8 3 8773 8816 This is an open-access article ditributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. This article is available from http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/8/8773/2008/acpd-8-8773-2008.html The full text article is available as a PDF file from http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/8/8773/2008/acpd-8-8773-2008.pdf

We investigate whether explicit representation of the urban land surface improves the simulation of the record-breaking 24-h heavy rain event that occurred over Mumbai, India on 26 July 2005 as the event has been poorly simulated by operational weather forecasting models. We coupled and conducted experiments using the Regional Atmosphere modeling system (RAMS 4.3), with and without an explicit urban energy balance model-town energy budget (TEB) to study the role of urban land – atmosphere interactions in modulating the heavy rain event over the Indian monsoon region. The impact of including an explicit urban energy balance on surface thermodynamic, boundary layer, and circulation changes are analyzed. The results indicate that even for this synoptically active rainfall event, the vertical wind and precipitation are significantly influenced by urbanization, and the effect is more significant during the storm initiation. Interestingly, precipitation in the upwind region of Mumbai city is increased in the simulation, possibly as a feedback from the sea breeze – urban landscape convergence. We find that even with the active monsoon, the representation of urbanization contributes to local heavy precipitation and mesoscale precipitation distribution over the Indian monsoon region. Additional experiments within a statistical dynamical framework show that an urban model by itself is not the dominant factor for the enhanced rainfall for Mumbai heavy rain event; the combination of updated SST fields using Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM) data with the detailed representation of urban heat island (UHI) simulated by the TEB/urban model created realistic gradients that successfully maintained the convergence zone over Mumbai. Further research will require more detailed morphology data for simulating weather events in such urban regions. The results suggest that urbanization can significantly contribute to extremes in monsoonal rain events that have been reported to be on the rise.

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