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<article language="en">
	<journal>
		<journal_title>Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions</journal_title>
		<journal_url>www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net</journal_url>
		<issn>1680-7367</issn>
		<eissn>1680-7375</eissn>
		<volume_number>7</volume_number>
		<issue_number>3</issue_number>
		<publication_year>2007</publication_year>
	</journal>
	<doi>10.5194/acpd-7-7987-2007</doi>
	<article_url>http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/7/7987/2007/</article_url>
	<abstract_html>http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/7/7987/2007/acpd-7-7987-2007.html</abstract_html>
	<fulltext_pdf>http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/7/7987/2007/acpd-7-7987-2007.pdf</fulltext_pdf>
	<start_page>7987</start_page>
	<end_page>8015</end_page>
	<publication_date>2007-06-08</publication_date>
	<article_title content_type="html">Development and evaluation of an operational SDS forecasting system for East Asia: CUACE/DUST</article_title>
	<authors>
		<author numeration="1" affiliations="1">
			<name>C. H. Zhou</name>
			<email>zhouch@cma.gov.cn</email>
		</author>
		<author numeration="2" affiliations="1,2">
			<name>S. L. Gong</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="3" affiliations="1">
			<name>X. Y. Zhang</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="4" affiliations="1">
			<name>Y. Q. Wang</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="5" affiliations="1">
			<name>T. Niu</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="6" affiliations="1">
			<name>H. L. Liu</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="7" affiliations="2">
			<name>T. L. Zhao</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="8" affiliations="1">
			<name>Y. Q. Yang</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="9" affiliations="1">
			<name>Q. Hou</name>
		</author>
	</authors>
	<affiliations>
		<affiliation numeration="1" content_type="html">Centre for Atmosphere Watch &amp; Services (CAWAS), Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, China Meteorological Administration (CMA), Beijing 100081, China</affiliation>
		<affiliation numeration="2" content_type="html">Air Quality Research Division, Science &amp; Technology Branch, Environment Canada, 4905 Dufferin Street, Toronto, Ontario M3H 5T4, Canada</affiliation>
	</affiliations>
	<abstract content_type="html">CUACE/Dust, an operational sand and dust storm (SDS) forecasting system for
East Asia, was developed at CMA (China Meteorological Administration) by
integrating a meso-scale dust aerosol model with a 3DVar data assimilation
system that uses both surface network observation data and dust intensity
data retrieved from the Chinese Geostationary Satellite FY-2C. For spring
2006, CUACE/Dust successfully forecasted most of the 31 SDS episodes in East
Asia. A detailed comparison of the modeling predictions for the 8&amp;ndash;12 March
episode with surface network observations and lidar measurements revealed a
robust forecasting ability of the system. The time series of the forecasted
dust concentrations for a number of representative stations for the whole
spring 2006 were also evaluated against surface PM10 monitoring data,
showing a very good agreement in terms of the SDS timing and magnitudes near
source regions where dust aerosols dominate. For the entire domain forecasts
in spring 2006 (1 March&amp;ndash;31 May), a TS (thread score) system evaluated the
performance of the system against all available observations and rendered an
averaged TS value of 0.31 for 24 h forecasts, 0.23 for 48 h and 0.21 for 72 h
forecasts.</abstract>
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</article>

