Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net 1680-7367 1680-7375 7 1 2007 10.5194/acpd-7-1143-2007 http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/7/1143/2007/ http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/7/1143/2007/acpd-7-1143-2007.html http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/7/1143/2007/acpd-7-1143-2007.pdf 1143 1181 2007-01-24 A chemistry-transport model simulation of middle atmospheric ozone from 1980 to 2019 using coupled chemistry GCM winds and temperatures J. Damski juhani.damski@fmi.fi L. Thölix L. Backman J. Kaurola P. Taalas J. Austin N. Butchart M. Kulmala Reseach and Development, Finnish Meteorological Institute, P.O. Box 503, FI-00101 Helsinki, Finland Regional and Technical Cooperation for Development Department (RCD), World Meteorological Organization, case Postale 2300, CH-1211 Genève 2, Suisse Geophysical fluid dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, USA Climate Research Division, Met Office, Exeter, UK Department of Physical Sciences, University of Helsinki, P.O. Box 64, FI-00014 Helsinki, Finland A Global 40-year simulation from 1980 to 2019 was performed with the FinROSE chemistry-transport model based on the use of coupled chemistry GCM-data. The main focus of our analysis is on climatological-scale processes in high latitudes. The resulting trend estimates for the past period (1980–1999) agree well with observation-based trend estimates. The results for the future period (2000–2019) suggest that the extent of seasonal ozone depletion over both northern and southern high-latitudes has likely reached its maximum. 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